is the government going to shut down

is the government going to shut down

Analyzing the Potential Impacts of Government Shutdowns: A Comprehensive Study

1. Introduction to Government Shutdowns

A government shutdown is caused by a political stalemate in which budget appropriation bills for various federal agencies, which are supposed to fund government operations, are not enacted by the Congress and are not signed into law by the President in a timely manner. In the case of a government shutdown, federal employees may be furloughed, and some operations of affected agencies may be halted or reduced. The United States has had a history of 21 government shutdowns from 1976 to 2020, and other countries have had similar events. These shutdowns can cause chaos among federal employees and their families, as well as harm the economy. Meanwhile, some important studies have discussed why and how shutdowns occur. Although most of these studies predict the impacts of shutdowns, few focus on the real impacts. Following Macpherson’s pioneer research, we will investigate the real impacts caused by the shutdown through examining the earnings of related federal employees. Rental market data is used to follow our additional effects investigation. Our purpose is to contribute to the limited literature by providing real evidence of what actually transpired, as doing so will help with our understanding of the real impacts of government shutdowns.

2. Historical Context and Causes of Government Shutdowns

Introduction Government shutdowns occur when the United States government experiences a lapse in appropriations funding from Congress, resulting in the furlough of nonessential employees. Generally, the operational effects of government shutdowns are modest, especially if they do not last more than a week or two. Services essential to US national security, public health, and safety are exempt from this event. During a government shutdown, many public services are either suspended, such as the operation of national parks and museums, or are provided on a very limited basis, such as the processing of various permits and lifetime national park passes. The impact of a government shutdown on the economy has been widely debated. Western economies rely on a wide range of goods and services provided by the public sector, so any disruption in these services could have an adverse impact on economic activity.

Historical overview and causes of government shutdowns Government shutdowns occur when the United States government experiences a lapse in appropriations funding from Congress, resulting in the furlough of nonessential employees. Generally, the operational effects of government shutdowns are modest, especially if they do not last more than a week or two. Services essential to US national security, public health, and safety are exempt from this event. During a government shutdown, many public services are either suspended, such as the operation of national parks and museums, or are provided on a very limited basis, such as the processing of various permits and lifetime national park passes. The impact of a government shutdown on the economy has been widely debated. Western economies rely on a wide range of goods and services provided by the public sector, so any disruption in these services could have an adverse impact on economic activity.

3. Economic and Social Consequences of Government Shutdowns

In efforts at documenting economic trends, the paper presents economic conditions for each of the three time periods that immediately preceded or followed the most significant federal government shutdowns. Data for the United States economy in the month of federal shutdowns are compared with the average for dates on which those government activities are authorized. That analysis documents that, at least in part, federal government activity and economic behavior had been dominated by the political demands of the security sector. The seeds of the future trends and increases of security activity indicate that of an emerging militarism or, if not the displacement of productive with unproductive economic activity, the possibility of failure of the mere shifting in political decisions. Of the fiscal demands periodically present in democratic governments in respect of funding organized, influential interest groups’ demands for goods and services government, and of the failure of the political process in the United States of America to differentiate between those conditions that are consistent with democracy and those that may lead to its destruction.

In examining the political and economic issues that are involved in the federal shutdowns, the paper first describes methods that have been employed to reach an agreement on budget policy, and the economic records that have been produced by those methods. Then present the budget environment that exists in the United States at the time of closures and the resolution of the budget process. Use that background to examine framers’ debates to learn about the theory that shutdowns will provide policymakers with the impetus they may need to reach a decision. The paper tests the hypothesis generated by the conjecture of those appropriation bills and spending limit proposals that have included a shutdown provision, and follows its effect.

Sargent examines the social and economic consequences that occur as a result of federal shutdowns. The consequences range from emphasis on the inequities that exist in the configuration of particular programs to critique of the government’s ability to provide for the general welfare, the ineffectiveness of efforts to deal with its economic policy in general, and the countering of economic downturns in specific.

4. Mitigation Strategies and Solutions for Preventing Future Shutdowns

Over the last week, some ideas, some long-standing and some innovative, have been circulated which could provide a means of keeping the government open in the case that issues are not resolved when nightmare scenarios again threaten voters. Clearly, the desire to avoid future shutdowns has been demonstrated by voters. While avoiding additional hours for nothing was not to be the tactics, having been snubbed by the White House as a potential negotiator during the next few weeks, it would have been doing havoc to the oversight function.

The 2018/2019 U.S. Government Shutdown has brought the country to the edge of a cliff, threatening economic security, the clearance process, exposure and trustworthiness, economic indicators, as well as the general welfare and trust in government. A number of strategic and long-term solutions have been proposed to avoid shutdowns or government careens off cliffs, and common ground should be found so that they can be used to avoid the serious consequences that would result from a shutdown. Various levels of the government can agree to some form of joint activity and negotiation, endorsement, and implementation. Prior to any action requiring legislatures, there must be the backing of the political will.

Ideas and proposals discussed for future action